Safety 2010 Proceedings

750 The Implementation of Business Decision Making Tools in Incident Rate Prediction

Instructor: Samuel A. Oyewole, Ph.D., The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

Description: Sponsored by the Business of Safety Committee and the Engineering Practice Specialty
This session provides an overview of the application of a forecasting technique to predict incident rates from a business oriented perspective. The double exponential smoothing technique was used to compare the actual and the predicted incident rates in a one-year period. The forecast accuracy indicated 71.58% with a tracking signal of -4.08.

Level: B